Gov’t agency warns of possible M8 quake — Recent M7.3 predicted just before it happened (PHOTO)

Published: December 7th, 2012 at 11:55 am ET
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51 comments


Source: Jiji Press
Summary Translation: Fukushima Diary
Date: December 7, 2012

Source: Jiji

[…] Meteorological agency warned bigger earthquake of M8.0 class is expected.

The M7.3 was one of the aftershocks of 311, which was outerrise type of the earthquake. M8.0 class of the earthquake was expected but the last one was smaller.

There is a possibility that a bigger outerrise type one occurs at North or South of this epicenter. […]

It was expected to happen as a reaction of 311, which was reverse fault type. […]

See also: [intlink id=”m7-3-earthquake-strikes-northeast-japan-nhk-warned-of-strong-quake-minutes-before-it-hit-several-m5-and-m6-aftershocksvideo” type=”post”] Japan TV warned of strong quake minutes BEFORE it hit[/intlink]

Published: December 7th, 2012 at 11:55 am ET
By

51 comments

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51 comments to Gov’t agency warns of possible M8 quake — Recent M7.3 predicted just before it happened (PHOTO)

  • Those who have FAILED to advise evacuations to the full extent will soon say again that their decisions were 'regrettable'.

    It is sad, but true.

    Like the dinosaur trapped in a tar pit. It didn't think it would get stuck, but it did. 🙁

  • PhilipUpNorth PhilipUpNorth

    The map above shows the relative locations of today's M7.3 quake and the M9.0 quake of 3/11/2011. The M7.3 quake was "outerrise", located deep in the trench. The M9.0 was in shallower water, much closer to land. They expect at least one M8.0 aftershock of the 3/11/2011 quake. A M7.2 quake occurred 3 days before the M9.0 megaquake. Perhaps today's M7.3 is a precussor to the expected M8.0 aftershock.

    • Maggie123

      Thanks for analytical thought – PhilipUpNorth. That's what I'm looking for right now – summarizing information with data-based suggestion of possible further development.

      • Radio VicFromOregon

        M123, i'll be doing my thing for #4 and just checking in ever so briefly. If you have anytime to spare, give some imagination to all the pools being stable and resolved. Thx from your Mother Earth.

  • Dr. Anne Lee Tomlinson Maziar anne

    This earthquake could also be a foreshock of a larger earthquake in the future.

    • HoTaters HoTaters

      If it is a foreshock, we should see the aftershock or main quake within the next 24 hours or so. The probability of a larger quake occurring outside the 24 hour window is diminished. The longer afterward, the less likely it is a foreshock.

      So we'll the next 24 hours will be telling.

      • HoTaters HoTaters

        It's a bit surprising to learn the main Honshu quake (9.2?) occurred three days after the foreshock. That's a bit unusual, unless I'm mistaken.

  • grouch

    The 7.3 was a very short earthquake.

    After watching the video feed my first thought was "that was it?" Ive seen many earthquakes on the tepco cam, some lasting for 2-4 minutes…

    I have a feeling that this was a foreshock to another quake of equal and greater magnitude…

  • Dr. Anne Lee Tomlinson Maziar anne

    "Ramaswami Kumar
    December 7, 2012 at 5:45 am
    As predicted a major earthquake followed by a strong aftershock(hope you are reading!) struck off the East Coast of Honshu, Japan after giving forewarning in the form of three deep focus quakes(DFEs)(Two at Fiji being the usual portents):
    6.2 2012/12/07 08:31:15 37.939 143.763 29.2 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
    MAP 3.1 2012/12/07 08:27:01 60.206 -144.057 34.9 SOUTHERN ALASKA
    MAP 7.3 2012/12/07 08:18:24 37.889 144.090 36.1 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
    The three portenders after 6.4 MM strong one at Vanuatu:
    4.3 2012/12/02 03:02:02 27.822 139.855 503.6 BONIN ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION
    4.8 2012/12/02 21:00:51 -21.717 -179.487 605.1 FIJI REGION
    5.1 2012/12/05 23:08:37 -20.710 -178.933 617.7 FIJI REGION
    You still want to go ahead with nukes the world over? Beware the world's dams' surges. They are going to bring about extinction.”

    • Dr. Anne Lee Tomlinson Maziar anne

      Ramaswami Kumar
      December 7, 2012 at 6:57 am
      TEPCO's is outdated information that a 7.5 would not happen until years after the 9 MM. Not only 7.5 but a much bigger one is absolutely plausible. Perhaps before this December ends. It depends on the surges initiated by the world's dams and dam capacity is growing fast. Have a look at the link
      http://predictingwwquakes.blogspot.in

      • Sickputer

        "Not only 7.5 but a much bigger one is absolutely plausible. Perhaps before this December ends. It depends on the surges initiated by the world's dams and dam capacity is growing fast"

        SP: I do not ascribe to any theories of "dam" or ""dam pressure" to predict earthquakes or any other methods except maybe the age old suggestion to watch strange animal behavior.

        Despite the witch hunt efforts of ignorant Italian courts, there is no current reliable method in use for predicting earthquakes. There is one method, but nobody cares to fund it yet.

        There is a way to monitor faultlines to offer a good chance at some early warning prediction of earthquakes (maybe a ten hour advance notice) but that monitoring system requires half-mile deep holes drilled along fault lines at intervals with sensor equipment in each hole.

        So far (like a dike around New York city) this project has been much talk and little money. The money is needed elsewhere for bullets, missiles, drones, and graft for contractors and politicians. But Big Brother "loves" you. *;-)

        • Dr. Anne Lee Tomlinson Maziar anne

          If I understand correctly, he says that the weight of water in the dams places great stress on the fault lines. The dams were all full also just before 311. Of course there are also other causes of stress on the tectonic plates: fracking, deep earth tomography, deep earth oil drilling, solar flares, etc.

          • Dr. Anne Lee Tomlinson Maziar anne

            Posted by:
            Ramaswami Kumar
            September 16, 2011 at 11:16 pm •
            The earthquakes at Fukushima today were expected because of the rainfall spite in India-see the website imd.gov.in for the daily time series of all India rains. The spike on16 September 2011 was way higher- more than twice as high as the average for the day. This spike on top of the water mass contents behind the dams at the last 15 days of the monsoon and the changes in the high stress level of the rocks induced by the daily massive changes in dam contents at the fab end of the monsoons rival the tectonic forces or the cosmic forces and will trigger a major or great quake in the Pacific Ring of Fire before the monsoon has played out. Note also that because of the surges in daily rainfall being much greater than normal and the relentless increases in new dam capacity have caused the dams to exert such great water moments on the Antarctic rocks that hotspot clusters have occurred in this monsoon of 2011
            On 25th August and again on 9th September. These are significant fulcra to the water moments and their surges and result in melting of the ice by heat produced by friction. For rigid robust correlations which are scientifically meaningful between rainfall,hotspots,dam capacity changes and earthquakes as well as the seismic moment magnitudes see http://glaringlacuna.blogspot.com and other dam related urls there."
            http://enenews.com/series-of-quakes-hit-near-japan-disaster-zone-magnitude-6

            • Dr. Anne Lee Tomlinson Maziar anne

              anne
              November 9, 2011 at 12:09 am • Reply
              • The following about the Mar. 9 earthquake near Japan two days before the Mar. 11 earthquake is quoted from:
              predicting earthquakes
              38.322 142.369 24.4 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
              Update time = Wed Mar 9 16:16:24 UTC 2011
              The 2nd February 2011 prediction included the 140-160 longitude band for the major earthquake that occurred today:
              7.2 2011/03/09 02:45:18
              38.510 142.792 14.1 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
              It might have affected nuclear stations near the epicenter which are:
              FUKUSHIMA-DAIICHI (194km), ONAGAWA (112km).
              However we should await further developments in March- possibility of other such earthquakes, because of the tremendous surges in dam water pressures generated at the centers of gravity of water masses behind dams in heavily dammed regions. Watch out for news!
              http://predictingquakes.blogspot.com/
              http://enenews.com/series-of-quakes-hit-near-japan-disaster-zone-magnitude-6

          • Dr. Anne Lee Tomlinson Maziar anne

            There is also stress from global warming. The weight of the ocean is greater as the water level rises and the ice metls off. Also the frozen methane layer is melting and expanding placing more stress on the fault lines and perhaps creating new ones. And fracking, deep oil drilling, and deep earth tomography are also creating and expanding cracks in the earth and we will probably see more volcanic activity and more new volcanoes.

    • Dr. Anne Lee Tomlinson Maziar anne

      "And then lets take a look at the Fukushima earthquake

      of 11 March 2011:

      The first warning was a FIJI deep focus earthquake a week earlier:

      2011,03,04,203314.94,-23.549,-179.838,4.7,563,PDE-W

      And then this FIJI deep focus quake just an hour before:

      2011,03,11,044224.80,-22.293,-179.572,4.8,588,PDE-W"
      http://predictingwwquakes.blogspot.in

  • Interestingly, if you go to:

    http://wcatwc.arh.noaa.gov/

    …then click on the radio button [called "Last 20"] to show the last 20 main earthquakes they all lie on a visible semi-circular curve that stretches from Japan up through the Kuril Islands to Alaska and down to the Queen Charlotte Islands – all on the same major fault line or ridge – if you look at the topographics underneath the water.

    So, that's the ridge to watch it seems.

  • NoNukes NoNukes

    [M7.3] Reactor1 of Fukushima Daini discharged air from reactor building to have positive pressure
    Posted by Mochizuki on December 7th, 2012 ·

    http://fukushima-diary.com/2012/12/m7-3-reactor1-of-fukushima-daini-discharged-air-from-reactor-building-to-have-positive-pressure/

    • No Nukes

      Do you remember that Wall Street Journal article about Daini getting hotter?

      July 4, 2012, Fukushima Watch: At Fukushima Daini, It’s Safer Inside Than Outside By Mitsuru Obe. Wall Street Journal

      [excerpted "At the Fukushima Daini nuclear power plant, it may be safer inside the reactor buildings than it is outside them. JRT, which went on a media tour of Daini on Wednesday, found that background radiation levels in the plant compound were around 0.5 to 1.0 microsieverts per hour — some 16 to 33 times higher than prior to the March 2011 accident… http://blogs.wsj.com/japanrealtime/2012/07/04/fukushima-watch-at-fukushima-daini-its-safer-inside-than-outside/

      • NoNukes NoNukes

        Thanks, Majia, this was part caught my eye, too: "But they shot up inside the containment vessel to 6 microsieverts per hour near the pipes and valves where steam from the reactor goes through, and to 160 microsieverts per hour at the bottom part of the vessel, called the pedestal, which is right under the reactor."

        Time for a trip to the passport office.

        • No Nukes

          A passport for you?

        • moonshellblue moonshellblue

          NoNukes, I wouldn't bother getting a passport like Arnie Gundersen says "you can't run or hide" even South America gets hit with radiation thus I don't think anywhere on this planet is safe unless you constantly watch the jet stream and keep moving and eventually….

  • NoNukes NoNukes

    [Column] 5 Lessons learnt from M7.3 of 12/7/2012
    Posted by Mochizuki on December 7th, 2012 ·

    4. Monitoring post is down
    Immediately after M7.3, the monitoring post of Tokai Daini nuclear plant located in Ibaraki went under maintenance. [Link] It hasn’t been updated since 16:10 of 12/7/2012. The website says it’s under maintenance from 12/7 to 12/10. Considering the fact that Japanese government concealed SPEEDI to avoid “panic” in 311, it is highly likely that they get monitoring posts under instant maintenance when it detects rapid increase of radiation level etc.. You can not count on public monitoring post.

    http://fukushima-diary.com/2012/12/column-5-lessons-learnt-from-m7-3-of-1272012/

  • Dr. Anne Lee Tomlinson Maziar anne

    17 Earthquakes 4.6 or larger in last 8 hours in the same area reported by USGS
    MAP: http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Maps/10/145_40.php

    1. 5.0 2012/12/07 16:18:42
    37.707 143.877 32.6 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
    2. 4.7 2012/12/07 16:11:56
    37.810 143.741 34.9 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
    3. 5.1 2012/12/07 16:01:55
    37.723 143.868 30.7 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

    4. 5.0 2012/12/07 15:15:32
    37.800 143.850 35.8 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
    5. 4.7 2012/12/07 14:32:17
    37.762 143.637 35.0 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
    6. 5.3 2012/12/07 14:08:44
    38.745 88.101 16.1 SOUTHERN XINJIANG, CHINA
    7. 5.0 2012/12/07 12:58:08
    37.877 143.663 34.9 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
    8. 4.8 2012/12/07 12:48:52
    37.535 143.715 35.1 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
    9. 4.7 2012/12/07 12:33:38
    37.555 143.651 34.9 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

    10. 5.0 2012/12/07 12:05:28
    37.853 143.735 35.0 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
    11. 4.6 2012/12/07 09:56:28
    37.572 143.775 35.0 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

    12 4.8 2012/12/07 09:23:04
    37.822 144.175 35.1 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
    13. 4.7 2012/12/07 09:13:24
    37.721 143.746 35.1 OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

  • yogda yogda

    Not good.
    Thanks anne.

  • eatliesndie eatliesndie

    If you are not already, I would like to suggest praying. It seems like there is nothing else to to.

  • timemachine2020 timemachine2020

    It is now daylight at fukushima on tepco webcam

  • moonshellblue moonshellblue

    http://youtu.be/8FQs9yWu2h8 Tepco "Rectors 1 thru 3 a small adjustment but stable" They don't say what the 'small adjustment' was pertaining to does anyone know?

    • razzz razzz

      TEPCO can only do a few things with the melted cores, add more cooling water along with boron and inject more or less nitrogen. I'm guessing they adjusted the nitrogen injections upward as any disturbing of the melted fuel gets it more excited.

      Guessing again, this recent 7+ quake is the expected aftershock from the Great Quake or I at least certainly hope so as the tremors are smaller now.

      Of course with Japan, you can always expect more earthquakes as eventually the island will be subducted back towards the earth's mantle and cease to exist in the long run. Since during the Great Quake, parts of the shorelines dropped 3', it is a harbinger of the future.

  • soern

    who informs us, when sfp4 tumbles down?
    my geiger counter is active now.
    i will cite the readings.
    today it varies between 0,10 and 0,18 mySv/hr in bavaria/germany.
    at 04/2011 it went up to 0,41 mySv/hr sometimes.
    if it jumps up i'll post it.
    if sfp4 tumbed down today i can measrure it by 11/12/12 as jetstream needs 4 days to deliver his freight from fukushima as i've learned.

  • lam335 lam335

    POTR blog:

    FRIDAY, DECEMBER 7, 2012

    "Japan Earthquake Agency Confirms POTRBLOG's M8 Aftershock Alert."

    "We've warned for quite sometime that a M8.2 aftershock should be expected from the 3/11/11 "Fukushima" quake; in fact, we have even specified a probable location for that aftershock. Our latest on warning 10/20/12 was a detail video explaining the situation and risk. Well, at last finally, Mr. Nagai at the Japan Meteorological Office had enough to concern to at least give the populace a warning that they should expect an M8 aftershock."

    http://pissinontheroses.blogspot.com/2012/12/japan-earthquake-agency-confirms.html

  • timemachine2020 timemachine2020

    Tepco cam showing quake right now