Japan Nuclear Expert: 30,000 deaths in first month and up to 7 million cancer deaths total if accident at Taiwan nuke plant

Published: October 21st, 2012 at 3:25 pm ET
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10 comments


Title: Scientist warns of dangers of Taiwan nuclear mishap
Source: Taipei Times
Author: Lee I-chia
Date: Oct 22, 2012

A Japanese nuclear scientist and researcher says that if a nuclear accident occurred at one of northern Taiwan’s nuclear power plants, about 30,000 people would die within a short period of time and up to 7 million people could develop cancer from exposure to the nuclear radiation.

Hiroaki Koide, a nuclear reactor specialist who has been an assistant professor at Kyoto University’s Research Reactor Institute since 1974, spoke yesterday at a civic nuclear-free forum and met environmental protection groups in Taipei over the weekend.

[…]

According to nuclear accident simulations he has run, people living in Taipei and New Taipei City’s (新北市) Yonghe (永和), Jhonghe (中和), Banciao (板橋), Sanchong (三重), Lujhou (蘆洲) and Pingsi (平溪) would all be directly affected by radiation, leading to an estimated 30,000 deaths in the first month after any such incident and up to 7 million possibly dying of cancer in the following years.

Published: October 21st, 2012 at 3:25 pm ET
By

10 comments

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10 comments to Japan Nuclear Expert: 30,000 deaths in first month and up to 7 million cancer deaths total if accident at Taiwan nuke plant

  • jec jec

    Wonder what his simulation showed about Fukushima accident potential..how many deaths and follow-on illness and cancer??

  • aigeezer aigeezer

    "… a nuclear reactor specialist who has been an assistant professor at Kyoto University’s Research Reactor Institute since 1974, spoke yesterday at a civic nuclear-free forum."

    Interesting. Koide has apparently been at the bottom of the academic ladder (no promotion) for almost 40 years. I wonder what that's about. I can see how he might ruffle some feathers – from May, 2012:

    "Dr. Koide of Kyoto University repeated his mantra (or curse, to many Japanese) that the food contaminated with radioactive materials from Fukushima should be consumed by adults who have allowed the nuclear power plants."

    http://www.infowars.com/hiroaki-koide-adults-in-japan-should-eat-contaminated-food-to-atone-for-nuke-power/

    He has irritated some pro-nukers over at the physics forum, so that's probably a good sign:

    http://www.physicsforums.com/showthread.php?t=598011

  • What does international law say when it comes to one country contaminating another county or just irreversibly damaging the planet? Either through accident or neglect. The law will probably never be applied anyway. I know what 'the law' should say.

    http://www.pollutionissues.com/Ho-Li/Laws-and-Regulations-International.html
    or
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Environmental_law#Environmental_Law_Around_the_World

    Fortunately for Japan the wind blows across the Pacific most of the time and not toward China, Korea and Russia as they might not be as lenient and 'understanding' as the USA which is still ignoring the continued fallout from 3 meltdowns.

    If these Nuclear Plant-Death Machines are not eliminated they will ultimately destroy the planet or be the trigger to the wars which do.

  • AGreenRoad AGreenRoad

    Lists of nuclear disasters and radioactive incidents; via A Green Road http://agreenroad.blogspot.com/2012/04/lists-of-nuclear-disasters-and.html

    Free Ebook; Chernobyl: Consequences of the Catastrophe for People and the Environment; via A Green Road
    http://agreenroad.blogspot.com/2012/04/free-ebook-chernobyl-consequences-of.html

  • NoPrevarication NoPrevarication

    The number of deaths is interesting speculation, but what about the number of deaths that would occur at Indian Point? How many millions are within its reach and, don't forget the spent nuclear fuel on site and the inability of people to evacuate. Just yesterday I was reading that more university reactors have closed than are open. Unfortunately, none of them refer to the nuclear waste.

  • AGreenRoad AGreenRoad

    The NRC is trying to reduce or eliminate evacuation zones around nuclear power plants..

    We all know how safe these things are.. why evacuate people when an accident happens? Just let people breathe in the healthy radiation in case something breaks or melts.

    No need to tell anyone anything either.. standard operating procedure.

    Treat people like mushrooms. Keep them in the dark and feed them Bul##*(.

    • PavewayIII PavewayIII

      The original 'zones' were established with the idea that the plant might explode and they couldn't predict the fallout direction ahead of time. That's why they're circular.

      Leave it to Japan to insist on following that to the letter, and refuse to expand (or redraw) the evacuation zone based on actual contamination.

      The NRC would like the evacuation zones as small as possible because the old zone boundaries only had a few thousands or tens-of-thousands of unlucky schmucks that would have to be compensated somehow. That number must have increased tenfold in the last twenty-five years in the U.S., and that would get expensive.

      You either have to build bigger FEMA camps and force people to live there until… well, forever. Or you're going to stall a few dozen years (like Japan) and let the people either die off from cancer and heart disease or settle themselves somewhere else. In 2035 when a settlement is finally approved by the courts, you mail out $2500 checks to a bunch of dead people and argue the terms with anyone still alive. Kind of like applying for a rebate.

  • AGreenRoad AGreenRoad

    They all have to PROVE harm first. Since no one is testing or measuring internal radiation, no one can prove harm.

    Then they are burning radioactive waste, making the background radiation much higher and 'normal'. Again, no one can prove harm.

    Kind of like smoking.. what killed you? Primary or secondary smoke?

    WHo knows? Case closed. zero awarded to plaintiff.

  • AGreenRoad AGreenRoad

    Dead men walking… make way…. dead men walking