National Geographic: 3 years for contamination to reach U.S. coast from Fukushima, scientist estimates

Published: August 7th, 2013 at 8:03 pm ET


Title: Fukushima’s Radioactive Water Leak: What You Should Know
Source: National Geographic
Author: Patrick J. Kiger
Date: August 7, 2013

[…] A mathematical model developed by Changsheng Chen of the University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth and Robert Beardsley of the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute found that radioactive particles disperse through the ocean differently at different depths. The scientists estimated that in some cases, contaminated seawater could reach the western coast of the United States in as little as five years. [Ken Buesseler, a senior scientist with the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution who has analyzed thousands of samples of fish from the area]thinks the process occurs a bit more rapidly, and estimates it might take three years for contamination to reach the U.S. coastline. […]

See also:

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  • [intlink id=”study-n-americas-west-coast-to-be-most-contaminated-by-fukushima-cesium-of-all-regions-in-pacific-in-10-years-an-order-of-magnitude-higher-than-waters-off-japan-maps” type=”post”]{{empty}}[/intlink]
  • [intlink id=”report-nuclear-pollution-from-fukushima-to-hit-u-s-in-2015-impact-strength-of-cesium-137-on-west-coast-is-as-high-as-4-percent-due-to-strong-currents” type=”post”]{{empty}}[/intlink]
  • [intlink id=”iaea-expert-predicts-radioactive-cesium-will-be-carried-across-pacific-to-west-coast-of-u-s-and-canada-in-one-or-two-years” type=”post”]{{empty}}[/intlink]
  • [intlink id=”study-contaminated-water-from-fukushima-reactors-could-double-radioactivity-levels-along-us-west-coast-in-5-years-we-were-surprised-at-how-quickly-the-tracer-spread-video” type=”post”]{{empty}}[/intlink]
  • [intlink id=”mit-radiation-contaminated-seawater-would-reach-u-s-west-coast-in-as-little-as-5-years-estimates” type=”post”]{{empty}}[/intlink]
Published: August 7th, 2013 at 8:03 pm ET


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21 comments to National Geographic: 3 years for contamination to reach U.S. coast from Fukushima, scientist estimates

  • lickerface lickerface

    This has got to be BS information!

    • davidh7426 davidh7426

      It's probably been a slow week at Nat Geo's HQ, so they thought they'd jump on the FUKU bandwagon.

      They'll be back to their normal routine next week.

    • lickerface lickerface

      Didn't some debris already wash up onto the Pacific coastline of USA? If I recall correctly, sometime before December some debris which has a radioactive plume on it (at 40 degrees North) will enter the coastline of northern California. These "scientists" are making assumptions rather than going by events which have already occured. So… their theory is all nice and… theoretical.

      • guinness69

        The debris washing up should be ok. The plant didn't blow up for some time after all the stuff got washed out to sea by the wave . But the radiation will arrive for sure. The first way it will get there is by catching a lift with the fish. That will be the most dangerous at first as it will be concentrated, but with time the sea will build up the radiation. If you look at what the deepsea horizon disaster cost BP I can only imagine what this will cost Japan. I reckon the entire Pacific fish stocks are off the plate forever because of this. I also think that in time the whole plant will collapse with a minor quake because of the water building up under it. This disaster is only starting I'm afraid

        • We may disagree…

          Remember the tsunami washed the debris out to the ocean, DOWNWIND OF FUKUSHIMA. Fuku then threw up all over the ocean starting on 3/11 and continues till now.

          Think about it; What happened to the Navy ship in maybe a day of being downwind of FUKU?

          The debris was downwind of FUKU for A MONTH or longer… it got HOT!

          80% of all radiation release in total went into the ocean from the air mostly. That radiation is already here in the US, because it crossed the ocean within days, settling into the ocean all the way over.

          Debris that gets gamma shine and other nice soup/cocktail of 1,200 radioactive elements will probably still be nicely hot after a trip across the Pacific, but who knows; this is the first time ever.

          Just to be safe; do not pick up anything from the beach on the West Coast, unless you have a Geiger Counter handy to test it FIRST or you see someone else testing it that you TRUST.

      • Slingerss Slingerss

        Yea, and the dock was contaminated.

  • CodeShutdown CodeShutdown

    well its a perfect cartoon, the scientists debating when, while right behind them a giant barge from Fukushima is aground on the beach. Careful Buesseler, youre becoming a laughing stock

  • Jebus Jebus

    So with time off for, well, time already spent,
    we now have six maybe seven months till it gets here.
    Buying time with a dream and receiving a nightmare.

  • TheBigPicture TheBigPicture

    Travels in ocean 25 miles a day. And by air, under a week. Continual, adding, never ending, till they find a way to cap it off. They should do that.

  • Heart of the Rose Heart of the Rose

    "[Kinjo] acknowledged that if the water reaches the surface, “it would flow extremely fast.”

    Reuters Exclusive: Barrier is breached at Fukushima says official — ‘Highly radioactive’ water entering ocean — Will flow ‘extremely fast’ if it reaches surface — Tepco sorry for trouble
    Aug. 5 2013

    Buesseler needs to 'get real'.

  • saltyfishlvr

    Based on this 3 year scenario, we have less than a year left before the major plume, right after the accident, will hit our Western shores, after that it will just keep coming.

    • NoNukes NoNukes

      The plume came down, especially in the rain, that week March 2011, all over the U.S., and the material circles the globe, along with all the new releases, and continues to come down with the rain, and then kids swim in that water, and drink it, and bathe in it.

  • timemachine2020 timemachine2020

    In August of 2011 – 15 out of 15 Tuna caught off the coast of San Diego were positive for cesium from Fukushima. That was 2 years ago. Hmmmm. Why haven't the American public been informed about the 70,000 US Sailors and Marines that participated in operation Tomodachi, that were left in the direct path of airborne radioactive fallout plume and many now are falling ill from various radiation related sicknesses, and how they have been removed from any medical record tracking thru the military and or government. Who is going to stand up for their rights? If the masses were aware of this these atrocities to our veterans and active personnel and how these abuses that were so detrimental to their health something would get done in a hurry? Time is running out fast for these brave heroes and they need our help. The USS Ronald Reagan is a nuclear powered carrier. You know damn good and well they have radiation detection equipment aboard. Why did it take so long for them to figure out they needed to get the hell out of there? 3 months they were left their to fry without knowing of the danger they were in. Major criminal offenses committed here. I am contacting my congressman about this and I wish that others here would do the same. Blatant disregard for our beloved troops well being. Someone needs to pay and heads need to roll over this. Most importantly those brave sailors and marines need immediate medical attention and monitoring.

    • andagi andagi

      'The level of radiation “was incredibly dangerous,” Sebourn said. “Navy
      aviation had never dealt with radiation before. Nobody knew what to
      do. Nobody knew what was safe. It was a nightmare.'
      'They will be in federal court in San Diego on Oct. 3 to fight a TEPCO
      motion for a change of venue to Tokyo and a motion to dismiss, Garner

      We're with you all!

    • andagi andagi

      'Shinzo Kimura, a professor at Dokkyo Medical University in Japan, had been collecting radiation contamination data and studying the radiation exposure risks from Chernobyl. He was the first scientist on the ground in Fukushima after the disaster, and he said he was compelled to take readings because he didn’t trust Japan’s government.'

      'Kimura said the levels were so high around the plant that his dosimeter was unable to measure the radiation — the level was off his device’s scale.
      He said the winds were blowing out toward ships off the coast in the days after the disaster.'


    • andagi andagi

      Thank you timemachine2020. Take good care 🙂

    • CaptD CaptD

      There are a number of U Tube videos from the sailors that were radiated that were serving aboard the USS Ronald Reagan who said that they and other enlisted who were working outside during the fallout never got any iodine pills but the Officers (who were inside the ship) did…

      Also it would be good to locate the water barge that was delivered by the US Navy right after 3/11/11 that had clean water in it, it has a vessel number and my guess is that it has been sunk somewhere, after being filled with highly radioactive water…

      Another thing to find out about is if any aircraft have been contaminated and are now grounded because of radioactive contamination!

      + There were many blogs about the contaminated water on HP after 3/11/11.

      I suggest a rally before the trial in San Diego!

      Please post links for additional news about the trial!