Nuclear Expert: No. 4 fuel pool may have 5 times more cesium-137 than estimated — Either way, all of Japan would be an evacuation zone

Published: June 14th, 2012 at 7:06 pm ET
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What Is the United States Government Waiting for?
By Akio Matsumura
June 11, 2012

[...]

I also met with Bob Alvarez in Washington and we talked for several hours. I thanked him for his calculation of Cs-137 at Fukushima Daiichi site; the simple figure has helped draw the public’s attention to the issue. Mr. Alvarez said that the figure of a ten times Cs-137 at Reactor 4 compared to Chernobyl is low, but is useful to avoid scientific arguments; a higher figure might be 50 times, which means that [Fukushima Daiichi's total Cs-137 inventory of] 85 times greater than Chernobyl might be an underestimate as well.

But it doesn’t matter, Alvarez said, whether the magnitude is 10 or 20 times greater at Reactor 4. The Cesium-137 in Reactor 4 would cause all of Japan’s land  to become an evacuation zone, the strong radiation would affect East Asia and North America, and the radioactive material fall out would remain there for several hundred years.  He asked me if Japanese leaders understand this. My answer is, yes, they understand it in theory but not in a practical sense. Prime Minister Noda, the sixth premier in the past five years, does not have the political power to make a decision to request the Independent Assessment team and the international technical support teams outside of TEPCO.

[...]

Published: June 14th, 2012 at 7:06 pm ET
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  1. Japan Nuclear Expert: There are known to be broken fuel rod assemblies in Spent Fuel Pool No. 4 — Large amount of radioactive material has fallen to bottom — “Many years” to get fuel out (VIDEO) May 7, 2012
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  3. Nuclear Expert: Iodine-131 in No. 4 pool suggests that “spent fuel has started its own chain reaction” April 15, 2011
  4. Nuclear Professor: 5,000 Hiroshima bombs worth of cesium-137 in spent fuel pool No. 4 — “Low estimate” (VIDEO) May 8, 2012
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15 comments to Nuclear Expert: No. 4 fuel pool may have 5 times more cesium-137 than estimated — Either way, all of Japan would be an evacuation zone

  • TheBigPicture TheBigPicture

    Nuclear power must be outlawed. What are we waiting for?


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  • Sickputer

    The events in Greece (election in four days that may prove a heavy camel straw) and Spain (25% unemployment and downgraded to a credit ranking lower than Uganda) means financial disasters are competing for attention.

    Japan has an invisible deadly threat to its survival that can be ignored until lots of poor Japanese start dropping dead. The government will deny the health threat as long as it can to avoid becoming a Spain, Greece, Italy, Ireland, or Portugal (to name a few).

    Things are coming to a boil in so many areas. The second half of 2012 will be interesting. End of the world? Doubtful. End of prosperity for many countries? Quite possible. America is not assured of making it through November unscathed. Could be a big political change of the guard in many countries.

    I remember a very popular Gulf War hero president who lost in 1992 when a year earlier he looked invincible for re-election. How many Americans know why Clinton won? I'll give a hint… The third party candidate won zero electoral votes yet he got 19% of the popular vote in 1992, 3% more than George Wallace in 1968. Ross Perot fractured the Republican solidarity and gave Clinton the victory.

    The American election this year will have some surprises also and I bet Japan figures prominently.


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    • Gotham

      "Things are coming to a boil in so many areas. The second half of 2012 will be interesting. End of the world? Doubtful. End of prosperity for many countries? Quite possible."

      END OF THE WORLD – Yes, as we know it.

      I like to think of the coming changes as a radical change in worldview. It will be a multi-faceted change with politics, economics, environment and religion being some of the top candidates.


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      • dharmasyd

        If our evolution continues, it will be a new, conscious morality. It will be a shift from what Hotaters calls our current "moral malignancy." That malignancy infects many more areas than just the nuclear criminality; it infects most every area of our lives.

        The splitting of the atom mandated that human beings must change their way of thinking and acting–from an exploitative, selfishness to a more comprehensive realization of compassion for all that lives. The nuclear age has written:

        DEATH WRIT LARGE ACROSS THE PLanet

        Either we evolve in moral consciousness or we succumb to the death of this little branch of evolution.

        The Dalai Lama's 6/13/12 twitter says:

        "I am increasingly convinced that the time has come to find a way of thinking about spirituality and ethics beyond religion altogether."


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        • richard richard

          the dalai lama is right, but late. i've been thinking this all my life.

          i like your optimism dharmasyd, but i fail to see it happening. we are surrounded by way too many people who will not ever think beyond their little world and of them selves.

          you'll need to distance yourself from them. i've come to that conclusion myself.

          just like the ones who will scoff at fuku concerns, they will never see anything differently. never.

          and i'm not having a go at them, that's the way it is. some of us are 'fortunate' to have a broader awareness… many others will never desire or try.

          it's the nature of the human beast. it's the 80/20 rule. there'll always be the small minority like ourselves that effectivily beat our heads against the wall… while the masses just get on with bulldozering thru life.

          the evoluation you hope for is giga-generations away, if ever. but do keep trying, as there always needs to be the 20%.

          ;)


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      • richard richard

        what the hell would religion have to do with .. that baloney getting in the friggin way again.

        and frankly, from an outsiders perspective, the looming usa elections look like a dog's breakfast.

        obama the false peace prize holder, or the other lot of fruitcakes that don't seem to know what way is up. and these friggin idiots have their finger on the button. sheesh.. this is just scarey shyte.

        either way, the usa is looking more and more like a dangerous loose cannon.

        wow, to think, i'm starting to be pleased i probably wont be on earth for many more decades – this is all heading downhill real fast.


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  • dave14139

    And nuclear power is good for WHAT reason? What do they plan to do with the cesium world wide from all the spent fuel? What PLAN does the US have for disposing of all the spent fuel currently stored in fuel pools throughout the country? Stupid and Disgusting lack of foresight and planning.


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  • isogoodhumans

    Professor Koide's Excellent Powerpoint at University of Chicago

    Correct me if I'm wrong ADMIN, but this hasnt been featured as a news item at ENE. I beliueve it should. Many informative slides
    http://portal.sliderocket.com/BUVLA/koide-chicago


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  • isogoodhumans

    Note on slideshow-slides respond to mouse clicks. If you see a mostly blank or Japanese-language-only screen, click and text/images should appear


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