Radiation forecasts withheld by gov’t: Releasing it “would cause unnecessary panic” — “Ministry DECIDED such data would be unavailable due to loss of power”

Published: December 29th, 2011 at 8:59 pm ET


Fears slowed SPEEDI info, The Daily Yomiuri, Dec. 30, 2011:

The System for Prediction of Environmental Emergency Dose Information (SPEEDI)–the government computer system that projects the dispersal of radioactive substances–was designed to pinpoint which areas should be evacuated after a nuclear accident. However, the government initially withheld SPEEDI’s projections after the Fukushima nuclear crisis erupted, claiming that releasing the data “would cause unnecessary panic.” […]

The Education, Science, Culture, Sports and Technology Ministry oversees SPEEDI. […] However, the ministry decided such data would be unavailable due to the loss of power at the plant following the massive March 11 earthquake. […]

The ministry came under growing pressure from the media to reveal the SPEEDI results. On March 15, the ministry had made projections for what would happen if all radioactive material was discharged from the nuclear plant. However, it did not release the figures for fear of panicking the public. […]

Published: December 29th, 2011 at 8:59 pm ET


Related Posts

  1. Official: Japanese gov’t withheld radiation forecasts to prevent causing panic (VIDEO) May 2, 2011
  2. NHK: Japan gov’t gave SPEEDI radiation forecasts to US military, NOT own citizens January 16, 2012
  3. Bloomberg: US got SPEEDI radiation forecasts 10 days before Japan public — “Stop these word games” lawyer tells official — Gov’t had first claimed projections not accurate January 17, 2012
  4. Radiation forecasts in Japan kept secret to avoid “panic in the whole of society” May 3, 2011
  5. Report: Gov’t hid radiation simulation because it was “very, very bad” -Japan professor — Showed serious contamination over wide area March 4, 2012

75 comments to Radiation forecasts withheld by gov’t: Releasing it “would cause unnecessary panic” — “Ministry DECIDED such data would be unavailable due to loss of power”

  • Lies are the mainstay of the nuke industry
    I have summarized some of the lies here, please check it out.
    Also don’t be shy about visiting sponsors on some of the “free” nuke sites/blogs, it helps fund the effort to eliminate nukes from our earth. Our only earth.


    Oh, and I bought this really wicked telescope, and have come to the conclusion that there are no nearby alternate planets for us to live on, so we better stop squandering this planet


  • Tanuki San

    This is reason in and of itself not to have nuclear power anymore. If people can’t depend on a “reliable” government like Japan’s to let them know where radiation is going during a nuclear accident, who can? Why would anyone want to buy property near a nuclear power plant after this? The industry shows no responsibility and won’t be forced to pay for anything because it bankrupts entire governments.

    • jec jec

      We live 9 miles away from one nuclear plant. Can you say –irritated, nervous, and the government is not testing groundwater for any nuclear contamination. Can you say–the EPA Playbook–on how to manage the unwashed masses???

  • James2

    That’s exactly what I’ve been thinking.

    If it is so dangerous that people can’t tell the truth about it, then it’s too dangerous.

  • arclight arclight

    now the chinese on the other hand were able to to projections from march? how that work?

    from the report

    ““In March 2011, RSMC Beijing did a test to check if the contact information of all members in RAII was available. The results showed that many faxes, emails, phones were no longer available. As a result, in the Fukushima emergency response services, South Korea, Macao, and other national meteorological services sent requests to ask for RSMC Beijing product.
    At present, the numerical weather prediction models and diffusion models used in the RSMCs are different. As a result, the study on the comparison among the products of all RSMCs will be of great benefit on the emergency response services of all RSMCs. If RSMCs could share the comparison data, the model might be improved more efficiently. In addition, If RSMCs could share observation data, the research and the services might be improved greatly.””

    lawyers and mitigation eh! not the same in china? no dont think so!!

    funny world we live in… think i will have a stir fry tonight! 🙂

  • arclight arclight

    the IAEAS little friend the ISRP bag o water model versus common sense maybe?

    “Moreover, the central government and the Fukushima prefectural government differed over the amount of radiation exposure that should be the standard for determining which residents should undergo radiation screening. The safety commission did not properly resolve this “double standard.”

    ICRP model for children and pregnant women?? where are you UNHCR, WHO, UNICEF?? where?

    • arclight arclight


      heres what the IAEA have been doing this month in response to breaking news on contamination hot spots in japan

      December 2011

      •The IAEA implements a technical cooperation project on marine environment following the Fukushima nuclear accident.
      (control of information)

      •A statement from IAEA Director General Yukiya Amano welcomes the announcement from Japan that the reactors at Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station have achieved a “cold shutdown condition” and are in a stable state.
      (i have no idea??)

      •Nuclear techniques are being widely used in the global fight against avian influenza.
      (possible outbreak of chest/lung complaints due to particulate density, need somethng to blame?)

      •Support for IAEA’s initiative against cancer continues in 2011 with Member States and partner organizations stepping up contributions to the Programme of Action on Cancer Therapy (PACT).
      (back up plan for futur employment if nuclear plants cease operation)

      yep! a busy and succesful month indeed!!

    • arclight arclight

      should read ICRP not ISRP

    • HoTaters HoTaters

      Arclight, have you read the material explaining how the IAEA basically dictates policy to the WHO? How the ICRP basically reports whatever the IAEA decides upon? Dr. Busby talks about this. I can’t find the well researched article I’d hoped to cite here, but here’s a link to discussion on this:


      Here’s a quote:

      “And the IAEA does have a gag contract with the WHO since the 1950ies which does the WHO not allow to publish other numbers concerning radiation desease and death numbers, than those validated by the IAEA. And the IAEA ignores the link between desease / death and high / low radiation. Although it is proven.

      Evidence HERE

      Since 1929 genetic and cancer creating effects of radioactivity are known.
      In 1946 Hermann J. Mueller got for his experiments the nobelprice: Source

      So, more atomic power plants means: Less sorrow for the operators and the industry – if something happens ….”

      • arclight arclight

        more info and links here

        “It is important to bear in mind that the IAEA is dedicated to fostering the spread of nuclear power. That commitment is at the very begining of its constitution.
        For fully half a century the WHO has been subservient to IAEA in matters of radiation and health. Under the WHO/IAEA Agreement (WHA12-40) of 28 May 1959, the IAEA has assumed a power of veto over WHO’s activities. Similar “agreements” constrain other UN agencies.
        An international campaign opposes this conflict of interest, calling for WHO to be independent of the nuclear lobby”


  • kx kx

    it could jam the road for my kids to pass ffs

  • Heart of the Rose Heart of the Rose

    Proper panic…Tepco and the Japanese government prevented proper panic…the people of Fukushima…were/are not allowed to save their own lives.
    Unnecessary panic?…let’s find out..
    ..as the government of Japan will soon learn a lesson or two from Fukushima.
    …Are you listening Jaczko?… let’s see how well your”conservative” evac zone works.

  • Cindy

    If the Japanese whaling fleet claims that they are doing ‘Research’ , then a required test ought to be to test various whale parts and organs for radiation, and plutonium and publish any findings … perhaps they will stop whaling when the whales reach the 100 BQ per kilogram limit …

    I read the reason they were dropping the radioactivity allowed in food from 500 bq kg , to 100, was because it was only ‘Safe’ to eat it at the higher levels for 1 year … , maybe they were secretely hoping that it would just go away, in a years time …

    So frustrating to have everything downplayed all the time… The truth will come out !!

  • James2

    You know – we here are almost laughing at the thought that they would do this to the people.

    But they not only did – they are doing it right now today still.

    If this is not enough for the Japanese, and the US citizens to rise up and say – we’ve had enough!

    Well, then I’d say we most certainly are already extinct. Stick a fork in us, we’re all done…

  • charlie3

    James, I am amazed at the complacency of the public in the face of this disaster. Do people simply feel hopeless and powerless with everyone in office/power/media all bought and paid for?

    • PoorDaddy PoorDaddy

      Talking to people around here about Fukushima has proven futile for the most part.
      I just wrote a song about the radiation/cover-up and stuck it up on youtube a few minutes ago. Its called Fukushima Dreamin. Somehow we just need to reach more people….they aint’ gonna get it on the nightly news!!
      Here’s a link..

      • Mack Mack

        @Poor Daddy – great job! Please post the lyrics.

        • PoorDaddy PoorDaddy

          Here you go, Mack.


          On a sunny spring day, Cherry Blossom smell, an earthquake cracked open the bowels of Hell.
          A poisonous stew of leaked radiated slime is changing the planet til the end of time.
          Google Chernobyl, Three Mile Island.
          Open your eyes and stop your damn smiling!
          You can think what you want, and do what you do.
          Just pull your head out yer ass, find out what’s killin you.

          Fukushima! Malignant and warm.
          Fukushima! Non-stop dirty bomb.
          Fukushima! Ain’t no mystery,
          It’s the biggest cover-up in our history.

          The Ostrich don’t know, puts his head in the dirt. He can’t see radiation, so he thinks it can’t hurt.
          The whole Human race got the Atomic blues, but you won’t ever hear it on the mainstream news.
          When your babies get flippers, and harelips and such, it ain’t no big deal, cuz it still don’t hurt much.
          Your food will start glowin, your breathin gets slower, but the bottle just can’t hold the Genie no more.


          Don’t give it a thought when your lymph nodes all swell, and you’re pukin and shittin and weaker than hell.
          Ignore bloody noses or a tumor or three, settle back in your shelter, watch your flat screen TV.
          American Idol……the New Jersey Shore….Corporations are the pimps, and we’re all dyin whores.
          Just remember while you’re payin your radiation dues, they never even warned you on the evening news.


      • You know that Fukushima means “Island of Dreams”

        • PoorDaddy PoorDaddy

          I know it now! Thanks stock.
          @Mack….All I have is handwritten, guess I can scan it in and post it as a file. I’ll try tomorrow. Where would the appropriate place be to post lyrics?

          • or-well

            Everywhere PoorDaddy, everywhere…

            maybe ‘art’ of every expression is how the awakening must come…….?

            • Whoopie Whoopie

              GREAT SONG LYRICS PD! You are so talented. I will post to HP = hope it’ll will FIT. If not, I’ll do it in 2.

  • I obtained a nice summary report on Fukushima from the INPO. I embedded it into my own site in case somehow the information later gets “disappeared” and we all ought to do more of this. I use the free service “Box”, free as long as you don’t have crazy big storage requirements.

    Its the first link at the top. And don’t be shy about visiting sponsor links for free blogs that provide valuable service. EneNEWS is doing outstanding work, klik your appreciation.


  • Whoopie Whoopie

    12/30 “Culture of cover-up” and inadequate cleanup. Japanese people exposed to “unconscionable” health risks

  • Whoopie Whoopie

    21 Photos comments are interesting also – No comparison of US to Japan. Yes there would be RIOTS HERE, Japans culture so diff http://www.businessinsider.com/fukushima-evacuation-zone-new-photos-japan-2011-12#

    • Heart of the Rose Heart of the Rose

      Great post..Whoopie…
      See the police suited up….but the average citizen is to go home?
      The guilt of complicity must be so great…the Japanese government will and is committing genocide of their own people.
      They must fight the corruption and cowardice that poisons their souls.
      Do the right thing by their people.
      Mercy…we want mercy.
      PS..Now off to weep…along with the rest of the animals lovers on this blog.

      • Whoopie Whoopie

        I know Heart. I felt so damn bad looking through those photos. OMFG, I can’t even imagine something like that happening here. And we’re one natural disaster AWAY FROM IT!!! SHUT THEM ALL DOWN. 🙁

        • James2

          Good idea – somebody needs to show these photos to citizens of cities near every nuclear power plant, including Washington D.C.

          Show americans that your homeowner’s policy doesn’t include protection from nuclear disaster.

          Show the Oceanfront property owners in California, Washington, Oregon and BC that it will be their responsibility to remediate nuclear waste from their property when the tsunami stuff lands.

          And any property devaluation is theirs to pay for – not the insurance company’s. That’s probably a good message for LA and Orange county Oceanfront property owners, who are among the wealthiest people in the world.

          • James2

            Also, we need someone to do a study showing how much health care costs are going to rise as a result of Fukushima.

            Then warn all the businesses who provide health care how much their health insurance costs are going to rise – and how much lost productivity they are going to see.

            • James2

              If you can get into an American’s wallet, you can change their mind rapidly.

              Poor people value health more than rich people, but rich people value their wealth.

              • Bobby1

                The rich people think they can buy the best medical care, and this will save them. The doctors will irradiate them with cat scans and inject radioactive isotopes into them, which will just make it worse.


                • Whoopie Whoopie

                  Boy, the RADIATION BUSINESS must be booming.
                  Geiger counters, companies scrambling to make DECONTAMINATION DEVICES. Drug companies.
                  If I had money, I’d invest in all those and SOLAR AND WIND. But i’m busted, flat broke…BUT HAPPY *as much as anyone can be under the circumstances

                  • Whoopie Whoopie

                    “Another world is not only possible, she is on her way. On a quiet day, I can hear her breathing.”
                    Arundhati RoyJ

                    • StillJill StillJill

                      Thanks Whoopie,….and all my other ‘kids in the sandbox’! That Arundhati RoyJ quote is ALL I NEEDED to hear today–::-)

                      What would I do without you guys?
                      I shudder to think.

                      It is THAT kind of thought,….along with the simple comment our own xdrfox made the other evening to Kelly Ann, he said something to the effect,..”Don’t worry about the cat, et all, look to the ONE who is above ALL this, and IN CONTROL.” We must remind ourselves that even the precious seals have Ministering Angels and a Creator. He gives out powerful pain relievers no man made synthetics can TOUCH! Somehow I FEEL that the seals KNOW. Crazy talk maybe,……but they look like me in their eyes. No pity,….just a LOVE that wants to be heard.

                  • Bobby1

                    Stock prices of casket manufacturers will be going through the roof.

          • Whoopie Whoopie

            WAKE UP THE SHEEPLE!! Those photos certainly would. So frigging incredible there are so many still sleeping with this shit going on.

          • ShineTheLight

            Excellent point. I almost want to call an insurance brokerage that I know that handles high-net worth individuals to get the conversation started. BTW I shake my head each time I learn of some celeb heading to Japan to promote one of their films/albums. Jolie-Pitt clan took their entire family to Tokyo.

    • BreadAndButter BreadAndButter

      Thanks Whoopie for posting those pictures. Forwarded them everywhere. Yes, I also often wonder what would be going on anywhere else in a similar situation. Looting and murder en masse, I’m afraid. So in a way the mindset of the Japanese (which we often tend to criticise as “obiedient”) is good and bad at the same time.
      I remember hundreds of people patiently waiting in line after the disaster at a temporary phone installment, to try to get in touch with their family. I was so impressed.

  • Whoopie Whoopie

    GOOD NEWS? DEC 30 Toshiba® – The machine can decontamin­ate about 1.7 tons of soil. can be carried to the destinatio­n using two trucks. Toshiba is planning to start the cleaning process in places such as parks and schools

    • James2

      Wow – a whole 1.7 tons of soil?

      what, in its lifetime?

      OK Toshiba – just bring a 100 million of them to Fukushima and we’re done.

    • or-well

      Ominous picture Toshiba uses there…rather bleak-looking scene…Dead in fact!…not happy-green’n’clean at all…

      • Heart of the Rose Heart of the Rose

        Toshiba..the Boots and Coots of the Fukushima disaster….
        There is money to be made from disaster clean up…especially when it’s just for show…..

    • ion jean ion jean

      Hi Whoopie! Another great day to NOT be living in Tokyo, huh? I wish they would start calling a spade a spade and not refer to this or any other process as “decontamination” which is yet another nuclear FALLACY…atomic matter cannot be destroyed, just relocated.

      The waste is removed from one object and transferred to another

      Soil to filter sludge to incineration, back into soil so many miles away we don’t have to concern ouselves with it anymore? Coating the sea mammals skin till they hemmorhage blood from their eyes, Into a foreign people’s lungs, food, water then bone, blood, teeth, liver, kidney, heart, BANG!

    • James2

      BTW – that page is an IP capture site.

      I wouldn’t link to it if you aren’t protected. I run Ubuntu on a dumb terminal with no hard drive through a VPN and special software that makes everything i post look like it’s coming from somewhere else, but if you are not protected, you should indeed not visit that page.

  • Whoopie Whoopie

    IAEA the trained monkey for the nuke industry organ grinder
    December 30, 2011

  • Human0815

    Of course it is not okay to keep quite about a known danger,
    on the other Side i can understand them very well!

    I have my own counting System for the Fukushima related Death Toll and nearly all of them died
    because of the Evacuation!
    (the majority was very old,
    sick People
    who stayed in Hospitals,
    Hospices and Retirement Houses)

    I am at ca. 450 People!

    I estimate that when the Evacuation happened
    in a mode of Panic we could add ca. 25-50%
    or even more,
    do not forget that there was no open Road
    and everything was extremely dangerous
    because of the EQ-Damage!

    There are horrible Stories from the Helpers
    who has to abandoned trapped People because of the Evacuation Order,
    for example:

    Everything have at least 2 Sides, always!

  • Heart of the Rose Heart of the Rose

    A swift evacuation…is not going to be perfect..there will be those left behind…
    So are those that call for evacuation supposed to have remorse or something?
    The earthquake/tsumani prekilled most in the area…don’t be so flashy with your lack of nuke victim numbers.
    Wait for it…..

    • Human0815

      @ Heart of Rose,
      the Earthquake and the Tsunami killed “only”
      280 known and 21 missing from ca. 50.000 Citizens in that area!

  • Heart of the Rose Heart of the Rose

    Suuuure…..they should be running down the road..like Michael Jackson with his hair on fire..

  • James2

    uh oh – Vaunted tent over reactor 1 is burning up.

  • jimbojamesiv

    Would part of the unreleased forecast include evacuating Tokyo?

    What was it that they were afraid to reveal?

    What else would have caused such “panic” to avoid releasing the forecast?