Doug Dasher, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Nov. 6, 2013 (at 7:15 in): There’s a lot of unknowns, a lot of uncertainties… We really need to sample to understand this… Fukushima has continued to leak. They continue not to be able to stabilize or find where some of the melted cores are from the reactors… Stability of the spent fuel pool — that is a major issue right now internationally… there’s no way to stabilize it against a major earthquake. There’s a lot of things taking place — It’s not a stable site… We need to know what’s going on there now so in case something else happens we can be better prepared for it.
Kevin McCue, Director of the Australian Seismological Center, Feb. 11, 2014: [...] there is a possibility of a much bigger earthquake happening there again. [...] it is a very active part of the Pacific [...] Engineers are kind of playing a game of chance when they build a building [...] There is no possibility for designing for the worst possible earthquake. So they designed for something else. [...] I would imagine that a relatively small earthquake could give the Fukushima plant a very bad fright if they happened right under the reactor, say an earthquake like [a magnitude] 6.2. [...] So you could easily had a magnitude 6 earthquake right under the reactor and that would be very destructive [...] And even another Tohoku earthquake – there is about a 6% probability of having two of those in 100-year lifetime of the reactor — a small chance but still a chance of having another very great earthquake off the Japanese coast. [...] I imagine that they ought to be getting on with not only stabilizing the reactors but making sure that any other tsunami or any strong ground shaking doesn’t cause additional damage at those plants. I think that is a matter of high priority [...]
Published: February 11th, 2014 at 11:26 am ET